Analysis - Ice Sheets Today
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Extensive Greenland Ice Sheet melting in mid-July

A moderately intense melt season for the Greenland Ice Sheet has continued in July, with an extended period of high temperatures and coastal melting in mid-July. Temperatures at Summit closely approached the freezing mark on July 13, but no obvious surface melting occurred there despite warm conditions on successive days recorded by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) instruments. Data gaps from the Special Sensor Microwave Imager/Sounder (SSMIS) satellite data delivery continue, requiring more interpolation for daily melt extents. We are attempting to transition to another microwave satellite sensor.

Overview of conditions

A prolonged period of extensive ice sheet melting from roughly July 7 to July 20 tipped the 2025 melt season to above the 1981 to 2010 average for total melt-day extent (Figure 1a). Through July 20, the 2025 cumulative melt extent—the sum of the daily melt areas for all days—ranks sixteenth in the 47-year satellite record.

On several days during the mid-July melt surge, melt reached the southern portion of the ice sheet, but the total number of days for that region continues to lag the region’s long-term average (Figure 1b). The west-central ice sheet coast continues to have above average melting, as does the east-central coast. In the north, the number of melt days is high near Pituffik Space Force Base (formerly Thule Air Force Base), but below average along the northwestern coast and far northeastern areas. So far this summer, the peak daily melt extent was on July 19, at 752,000 square kilometers (290,000 square miles) or about 45 percent of the ice sheet area.

A note on our method of determining melt days and the chart of daily melt extent shown here and on the webpage: For the graphic shown in the analysis reports, the team only reports melt extents in total square kilometers for days when the ice sheet is completely covered by midday satellite data overpasses. By contrast, the daily updates on the Ice Sheets Today webpage report the mapped extents using an interpolation across partial gaps in satellite data coverage. 

Figure 1a. The left map illustrates the cumulative melt days on the Greenland Ice Sheet for the 2025 melt season through July 20. The map to the right illustrates the difference from the 1981 to 2010 average melt days for the same period. The graph shows daily melt area from April 1 to July 20, 2025, with daily melt area for a few recent years and 2012, the record melt year. The thick gray line depicts the average daily melt area for 1981 to 2010. — Credit: National Snow and Ice Data Center/T. Mote, University of Georgia
Figure 1b. These maps show melt area extent during the mid-month peak melt in order from left to right for July 13, July 18, and July 19. — Credit: National Snow and Ice Data Center/T. Mote, University of Georgia

Conditions in context

Temperatures over the Greenland Ice Sheet from July 7 to 20 were mostly near-average, although a large swath of the central and eastern areas were between 1 to 2 degrees Celsius (2 to 4 degrees Fahrenheit) above average. Below average atmospheric pressure occurred to the west of the Canadian Archipelago, and above average pressure developed over Iceland. This pattern drove air over the ice sheet from the southwest, creating the extended period of melting (Figure 2a). So far this season, (April 1 to July 18, not shown), above average conditions of 0.4 to 1.4 degrees Celsius (0.7 to 2.5 degrees Fahrenheit) have been the rule over the entire island except the far northeastern corner where temperatures are near average. Cool conditions have been prevalent over Baffin Island and northernmost Quebec. The above-average atmospheric pressure near Iceland has been a feature of the past several months as well, on average.

Net snow accumulation—total snow and rain, minus evaporation and melt runoff—has been mostly above average through spring but is now near-average as runoff near the coastal parts of the ice sheet are only slightly above the long-term average (Figure 2b).

Figure 2a. These plots show weather conditions for the Greenland Ice Sheet from July 7 to 20, relative to the long-term average. The left plot illustrates air pressure as indicated by the height of the 700 millibar air pressure level (at about 10,000 feet altitude) as a difference from the 1991 to 2020 average. Yellows and reds indicate above average air pressure; blues and purples indicate below average pressure. The right panel illustrates average surface air temperature as a difference from the 1991 to 2020 average for the same time period. Yellows and reds indicate above average temperatures; blues and purples indicate below average temperatures. — Credit: National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) Reanalysis
Figure 2b. The left map shows the total meltwater runoff for the Greenland Ice Sheet between September 1, 2024, and July 20, 2025, shown as millimeters of water equivalent on the surface. The map on the right shows the difference from average of the meltwater runoff for the 1981 to 2010 reference period. Ten millimeters is about 0.4 inches. — Credit: X. Fettweis, University of Liège, MARv3.14

Perfect Snowball Weather

Summit Station, at the top of the ice sheet, at 3,210 meters elevation (10,530 feet) experienced a string of days with peak temperatures just below the freezing mark. Air temperatures at mid-day were above -3 degrees Celsius (27 degrees Fahrenheit) on July 13, July 14, July 15, and July 18, which is not show in Figure 3. As is usually the case during warm events, the highest temperatures are associated with high air pressure. Melt events had been extremely rare prior to 2012 but have occurred several times since then as climate on the island has warmed.

Figure 3. The graph shows weather conditions, air temperature, dew point, and air pressure, at Summit Station, Greenland, for July 13, 14, and 15. — Credit: C. A. Shuman, University of Maryland, Baltimore County (retired) using data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Global Monitoring Laboratory

Rapid drop in reflection

The mid-summer warmth over the Greenland Ice Sheet led to a sudden drop in the reflectivity, or albedo, of the snow surface. The average albedo for the entire ice sheet plummeted in mid-July (Figure 4). Albedo went from near-record high values—indicating a bright, white surface—for the date (2017 to 2024 reference period) to near-record low levels—a dark surface—in the data set. The ice sheet became darkest during the high-melt year of 2019. Reflectivity of the surface can change dramatically in both directions, with fresh snowfall suddenly brightening the surface at any point in the year, or strong melting that exposes dark ice and older snow, or initiating biological activity, all of which lower reflection off the surface.

Figure 4. This graph shows daily reflectivity, or albedo, of the Greenland Ice Sheet surface from data from the European Space Agency Copernicus Sentinel-3, spanning 2017 to 2025. The black line is the daily average over an eight-year period, from 2017 to 2024, and the grey band is the variability during that period based on one standard deviation. The colored lines are the daily values for selected years. — Credit: J. Box, Geological Survey of Denmark and Greenland (GEUS); polarportal.dk

Further reading

Keegan, K. M., M. R. Albert, J. R. McConnell, and I. Baker. 2014. Climate change and forest fires synergistically drive widespread melt events of the Greenland Ice Sheet, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS) of the United States of America. 111 (22) 7964-7967, doi:10.1073/pnas.1405397111.
 
Wehrlé, A., J. E. Box, M. Niwano, A. M. Anesio, and R. S. Fausto. 2021. Greenland bare-ice albedo from PROMICE automatic weather station measurements and Sentinel-3 satellite observations. Geological Survey of Denmark and Greenland (GEUS) Bulletin, 47, doi:10.34194/geusb.v47.5284.