Cryospheric Climate Indicators: Soil Temperature

Cryospheric Climate Indicators


Notice: The Sea Ice Index is updated monthly. Funding constraints prevent us from updating or developing the other Cryospheric Climate Indicators. Soil Temperatures, Snow Cover, and Greenness are shown as prototypes.

Soil Temperature: Overview

"The perpetually frozen soils of the Arctic and boreal regions are thawing at an unprecedented rate. It's unclear what this bodes for global warming."
- Science magazine, 11 June 2004

Soil temperature responds to changes in climate. Changes at great depth (10 m to 200 m) reflect decade-to-century scale climatic variability, because changes in surface conditions take years to propagate through the soil. Soil temperatures closer to the surface, measured by thermistors at about 1 meter depth, are reflective of changes on shorter time scales. The presence or absence of snow and the type and density of vegetation, as well as the composition of the soil itself, can affect the response of soil temperature to changing air temperature. Deep snow and dense vegetation, for example, insulate soil from changes in air temperature.

What happens when average soil temperatures change over time? Areas where the soil remains frozen year to year are areas of permafrost. Permafrost thaws when its temperature rises above zero degrees Celsius, resulting in changes in soil moisture, vegetation, and the ability of the soil to store greenhouse gasses (carbon dioxide and methane). A typical progression would be thawing of permafrost underlying a spruce forest, resulting in the creation of a bog, and loss of the spruce forest. Any man-made structure built on the permafrost would undergo subsidence (Alaska and Siberia are experiencing damage to infrastructure on a widespread area, see Science, 30 Aug 2002, p. 1493). Subsequently the bog might dry out, and be succeeded by woody shrubs.

Overall, soil temperatures are rising in much of the Arctic ("Permafrost Temperature Records: Indicators of Climate Change," Eos 83 (50), 10 Dec 2002); however, these changes are manifest primarily in seasonally frozen ground regions while areas underlain by permafrost continue to be stable. How soil temperatures behave at any one location depends on many site-specific factors. The soil temperature indicators show examples of variability in soil temperature behavior.

The NOAA Arctic Change Indicator Website has more information. See State of the Cryosphere for a map showing areas of continuous and discontinuous permafrost. The Frozen Ground Data Center provides access to frozen ground data.

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