During the summer of 2012, scientists noticed something unusual in Greenland. On July 8, about 40 percent of the Greenland Ice Sheet surface showed signs of melting. But a mere four days later, 97 percent of the surface was melting, an extent that was unprecedented in the satellite record.
Just how unprecedented was this event? Does it mean that the Greenland Ice Sheet is possibly on the way out, like summer sea ice in the Arctic?
The Greenland block
To be clear, the Greenland Ice Sheet is still very much intact. It will take much more than a warm summer to melt ice that covers 660,000 square miles and averages 1.43 miles in thickness. And surface melt is quite shallow, including only the top several centimeters, according to Thomas Mote, a professor at the University of Georgia. Mote is one of many scientists studying Greenland’s ice, investigating what caused such a dramatic melt. Mote credits last summer’s extreme melt in large part to a weather pattern called the Greenland block. “Greenland blocking is a persistent high pressure ridging over Greenland,” Mote said. “That is when we will see warmer than normal conditions and more melt.” During a normal summer, about half of the ice sheet surface experiences melt. Last summer, this high-pressure block essentially parked over Greenland, creating a lasting dome of heat that rapidly melted nearly the entire ice sheet surface.
Melting in context
Much of the media coverage cited a historical precedent for the melt, focusing on an ice core record from Summit Station, Greenland. This core indicated that such extreme melts are not unusual, and have occurred as frequently as every 150 years. But records from a single location, while invaluable, may oversimplify the history of such a vast ice sheet, and may not account for more recent changes in the broader environment surrounding Greenland.
“You’re talking about a single event at Summit that is quite remarkable but very short-lived, versus this sort of broad warming and increase in melt over much of Greenland,” Mote said. “The increased melt that we’ve seen in Greenland over the past several years is associated with the general warming across the Arctic.” Greenland experienced record warming in 1999, 2007, 2010, and in 2012, mirroring years in which the Arctic as a whole experienced warming, and often, record sea ice minimums.
Mote and others hope to place the extreme event into a larger environmental context, seeing how factors like air temperatures and winter accumulation might play a role. And in spite of the recent warming, Mote cites some positive evidence among the many questions that Arctic warming often raises. “There is some evidence recently that suggests that the Greenland Ice Sheet can recover more easily perhaps than we might have thought,” Mote said. “I think we’re still trying to get a sense of just how inter-related these different cryospheric measures are across the Arctic.”
Nghiem, S. V., D. K. Hall, T. L. Mote, M. Tedesco, M. R. Albert, K. Keegan, C. A. Shuman, N. E. DiGirolamo, and G. Neumann. 2012. The extreme melt across the Greenland ice sheet in 2012. Geophysical Research Letters, 39, L20502, doi:10.1029/2012GL053611.