Entry_ID: ARCSS050
Entry_Title: Model Output From the 'Frost Index' Permafrost Model: Variations in Circumpolar Frozen Ground Conditions and Modeled Future Conditions
Group: Data_Set_Citation
   Dataset_Creator: Frederick E. Nelson, Oleg A. Anisimov, and Nikolay I. Shiklomanov
   Dataset_Title: Model Output From the 'Frost Index' Permafrost Model: Variations in Circumpolar Frozen Ground Conditions and Modeled Future Conditions
   Dataset_Release_Date: 2001-09-01
   Dataset_Release_Place: Boulder, Colorado USA
   Dataset_Publisher: NSIDC: National Snow and Ice Data Center
   Online_Resource: http://nsidc.org/data/arcss050.html
End_Group
Group: Personnel
   Role: Investigator
   First_Name: Frederick
   Middle_Name: E. (Fritz)
   Last_Name: Nelson
   Email: fnelson@udel.edu
   Group: Contact_Address
      Address: University of Delaware
      Address: Department of Geography
      City: Newark
      Province_or_State: DE
      Country: USA
   End_Group
End_Group
Group: Personnel
   Role: Investigator
   First_Name: Oleg
   Last_Name: Anisimov
   Email: oleg@oa7661.spb.ru
   Phone: 7 812-323-35-17 
   Fax: 7  812-323-10-28 
   Group: Contact_Address
      Address: State Hydrological Institute
      Address: V.O., 23
      City: St. Petersburg
      Postal_Code: 199053
      Country: Russia
   End_Group
End_Group
Group: Personnel
   Role: Investigator
   First_Name: Nikolay
   Middle_Name: I.
   Last_Name: Shiklomanov
   Email: shiklom@udel.edu
   Group: Contact_Address
      Address: University of Delaware
      Address: Department of Geography
      Address: University of Delaware
      Address: 216 Pearson Hall
      City: Newark
      Province_or_State: DE
      Postal_Code: 19716
   End_Group
End_Group
Group: Personnel
   Role: Technical Contact
   First_Name: NSIDC
   Last_Name: User Services
   Email: nsidc@nsidc.org
   Phone: 1 303 492-6199 x
   Fax: 1 303  492-2468 x
   Group: Contact_Address
      Address: National Snow and Ice Data Center
      Address: CIRES, 449 UCB
      Address: University of Colorado
      City: Boulder
      Province_or_State: CO
      Postal_Code: 80309-0449
      Country: USA
   End_Group
End_Group
Group: Parameters
   Category: EARTH SCIENCE
   Topic: Cryosphere
   Term: Frozen Ground
   Variable_Level_1: Active Layer
End_Group
Group: Parameters
   Category: EARTH SCIENCE
   Topic: Cryosphere
   Term: Frozen Ground
   Variable_Level_1: Permafrost
End_Group
Group: Parameters
   Category: EARTH SCIENCE
   Topic: Cryosphere
   Term: Frozen Ground
   Variable_Level_1: Soil Temperature
End_Group
Group: Parameters
   Category: EARTH SCIENCE
   Topic: Cryosphere
   Term: Snow/Ice
   Variable_Level_1: Frost
End_Group
Group: Parameters
   Category: EARTH SCIENCE
   Topic: Cryosphere
   Term: Snow/Ice
   Variable_Level_1: Permafrost
End_Group
Group: Parameters
   Category: EARTH SCIENCE
   Topic: Land Surface
   Term: Frozen Ground
   Variable_Level_1: Active Layer
End_Group
Group: Parameters
   Category: EARTH SCIENCE
   Topic: Land Surface
   Term: Frozen Ground
   Variable_Level_1: Permafrost
End_Group
Group: Parameters
   Category: EARTH SCIENCE
   Topic: Land Surface
   Term: Frozen Ground
   Variable_Level_1: Soil Temperature
End_Group
Group: Parameters
   Category: EARTH SCIENCE
   Topic: Land Surface
   Term: Soils
   Variable_Level_1: Permafrost
End_Group
Group: Parameters
   Category: EARTH SCIENCE
   Topic: Land Surface
   Term: Soils
   Variable_Level_1: Soil Temperature
End_Group
Group: Parameters
   Category: EARTH SCIENCE
   Topic: Terrestrial Hydrosphere
   Term: Snow/Ice
   Variable_Level_1: Frost
End_Group
Group: Parameters
   Category: EARTH SCIENCE
   Topic: Terrestrial Hydrosphere
   Term: Snow/Ice
   Variable_Level_1: Permafrost
End_Group
ISO_Topic_Category: Climatology/Meteorology/Atmosphere
Keyword: 2050
Keyword: Active Layer
Keyword: active-layer thickness
Keyword: ADCC
Keyword: ARCSS050
Keyword: Arctic
Keyword: Arctic System Science Data Coordination Center
Keyword: Circumpolar
Keyword: Department of Geography
Keyword: Frozen Ground
Keyword: Future Model Scenarios
Keyword: GCM
Keyword: General Circulation Models
Keyword: Global Circulation Models
Keyword: Hazard Index
Keyword: Hazard Potential
Keyword: Maps
Keyword: National Science Foundation
Keyword: NSF
Keyword: NSIDC
Keyword: OPP9612647
Keyword: OPP-9612647
Keyword: Permafrost
Keyword: Predictions
Keyword: Soil Temperature
Keyword: University of Delaware
Sensor_Name: VISUAL OBSERVATIONS
Source_Name: GROUND-BASED OBSERVATIONS
Group: Temporal_Coverage
   Start_Date: 2000-11-27
   Stop_Date: 2050-12-31
End_Group
Data_Set_Progress: complete
Group: Spatial_Coverage
   Southernmost_Latitude: 56
   Northernmost_Latitude: 83.5
   Westernmost_Longitude: -180
   Easternmost_Longitude: 180
End_Group
Group: Location
   Location_Category: GEOGRAPHIC REGION
   Location_Type: ARCTIC
End_Group
Group: Location
   Location_Category: GEOGRAPHIC REGION
   Location_Type: POLAR
End_Group
Project: ARCSS/LAII/FLUX > Arctic System Science/Land-Atmosphere-Ice Interaction/fluxes
Data_Set_Language: English
Group: Data_Center
   Data_Center_Name: NSIDC > National Snow and Ice Data Center
   Data_Center_URL: http://nsidc.org
   Group: Personnel
      Role: Data Center Contact
      First_Name: NSIDC
      Last_Name: User Services
      Email: nsidc@nsidc.org
      Phone: 1 303 492-6199 
      Fax: 1 303  492-2468 
      Group: Contact_Address
         Address: National Snow and Ice Data Center
         Address: CIRES, 449 UCB
         Address: University of Colorado
         City: Boulder
         Province_or_State: CO
         Postal_Code: 80309-0449
         Country: USA
      End_Group
   End_Group
End_Group
Group: Data_Center
   Data_Center_Name: NSIDC_ARCSS > NSIDC Arctic System Science Data Coordination Center
   Data_Center_URL: http://nsidc.org/arcss/
   Group: Personnel
      Role: Data Center Contact
      First_Name: NSIDC ARCSS
      Last_Name: User Services
      Email: nsidc@nsidc.org
      Phone: 1 303 492-6199 
      Fax: 1 303  492-2468 
      Group: Contact_Address
         Address: National Snow and Ice Data Center
         Address: CIRES, 449 UCB
         Address: University of Colorado
         City: Boulder
         Province_or_State: CO
         Postal_Code: 80309-0449
         Country: USA
      End_Group
   End_Group
End_Group
Group: Data_Center
   Data_Center_Name: NSIDC_FGDC > NSIDC Frozen Ground Data Center
   Data_Center_URL: http://nsidc.org/fgdc/
   Group: Personnel
      Role: Data Center Contact
      First_Name: NSIDC FGDC
      Last_Name: User Services
      Email: nsidc@nsidc.org
      Phone: 1 303 492-6199 
      Fax: 1 303  492-2468 
      Group: Contact_Address
         Address: National Snow and Ice Data Center
         Address: CIRES, 449 UCB
         Address: University of Colorado
         City: Boulder
         Province_or_State: CO
         Postal_Code: 80309-0449
         Country: USA
      End_Group
   End_Group
End_Group
Group: Distribution
   Distribution_Media: FTP
   Distribution_Size: 710 KB
   Distribution_Format: ASCII Text
End_Group
Group: Distribution
   Distribution_Media: FTP
   Distribution_Size: 710 KB
   Distribution_Format: JPEG
End_Group
Group: Reference

   Anisimov, O. A. and Nelson, F. E., 1996: Permafrost distribution in the 
   northern hemisphere under scenarios of climatic change. Global and Planetary 
   Change, 14: 59-72.

   Anisimov, O. A. and Nelson, F. E., 1997: Permafrost zonation and climate 
   change: results from transient general circulation models. Climatic Change, 
   35: 241-258.

   Anisimov O.A., and Poljakov V.Yu., 1999:  Forecasting air temperature for the 
   first quarter of the XXI century, Meteorology and Hydrology, 1999/2:. 25-31 
   (in Russian).

   Anisimov, O. A. and Poljakov, V. Yu., 2000: Computerized geocryological 
   information system for studies of climate-permafrost interaction in the 
   Northern Hemisphere.  Published in: Proceedings of the American Geophysical 
   Union, Fall meeting, San Francisco, 8-12 December 2000.  Anisimov, O. A., 
   Shiklomanov, N. I., and Nelson, F. E., 1997: Effects of global warming on 
   permafrost and active-layer thickness: results from transient general 
   circulation models. Global and Planetary Change, 15: 61-77.

   Brown, J., Ferrians, O. J. J., Heginbottom, J. A., and Melnikov, E. S., 1997: 
   International Permafrost Association Circum-Arctic Map of Permafrost and 
   Ground Ice Conditions. U.S. Geological Survey, Circum-Pacific Map Series, Map 
   CP-45. Scale 1:10,000,000.

   Greco, S., Moss, R. H., Viner, D., Jenne, R., and Intergovernmental Panel on 
   Climate Change, W. G. II., 1994: Climate Scenarios and Socioeconomic 
   Projections for IPCC WG II Assessment. Washington, D.C.: Consortium for 
   International Earth Science Information Network. 12 + maps, appendices, 
   diskettes.

   Leemans, R. and Cramer, W., 1991: The IIASA Database for Mean Monthly Values 
   of Temperature, Precipitation, and Cloudiness on a Global Terrestrial Grid. 
   Research Report RR-91-18, International Institute for Applied Systems 
   Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria, 62 pp.

   Nelson, F.E., Anisimov, O.A., and Shiklomanov, N.I., 2001: Climate change and 
   hazard zonation in the circum-Arctic permafrost regions.  Natural Hazards, in 
   press.

   Nelson, F.E., Anisimov, O.A., and Shiklomanov, N.I., 2001: Subsidence risk 
   from thawing permafrost. Nature 410: 889-890.

   Nelson, F. E. and Outcalt, S. I., 1987: A computational method for prediction 
   and regionalization of permafrost. Arctic and Alpine Research, 19: 279-288.

   Scripter, M. W., 1970: Nested means map classes for statistical maps.  Annals 
   of the Association of American Geographers 60: 385-393.

   Staub, B. and Rosenzweig, C., 1987: Global Gridded Data Sets of Soil Type, 
   Soil Texture, Surface Slope and Other Properties. Boulder, CO: National Center 
   for Atmospheric Research. 
   http://www.ngdc.noaa.gov/seg/eco/cdroms/ged_iia/datasets/a11/sr.htm#top

End_Group
Group: Summary

   This data set contains permafrost distribution maps, active-layer thickness 
   maps, and hazard-potential maps constructed using results from the 'frost 
   index' permafrost model (Nelson and Outcalt, 1987) driven by modern climatic 
   data and scenarios of climate change derived from three transient general 
   circulation models (Greco et al., 1994). The permafrost maps show the 
   distribution of permafrost in the Northern Hemisphere under modern climatic 
   conditions and General Circulation Model (GCM) projections for 2050; the 
   active-layer thickness maps show relative changes in the depth of seasonal 
   thawing projected for 2050; and the hazard-potential maps are used as indices 
   to evaluate potential environmental hazards associated with thaw settlement 
   and thermokarst.

End_Group
Group: Related_URL
   Group: URL_Content_Type
      Type: VIEW RELATED INFORMATION
   End_Group
   URL: http://nsidc.org/data/arcss050.html
   Description: access to data and documentation
End_Group
Group: Related_URL
   Group: URL_Content_Type
      Type: VIEW RELATED INFORMATION
   End_Group
   URL: http://nsidc.org/data/gis/
   Description: GIS Data and Resources at NSIDC
End_Group
Group: Related_URL
   Group: URL_Content_Type
      Type: VIEW RELATED INFORMATION
   End_Group
   URL: http://nsidc.org/data/arcss096.html
   Description: Model Output from MBL-GEM III for a Typical Tussock-Tundra Hill Slope, 1921-2100
End_Group
Group: Related_URL
   Group: URL_Content_Type
      Type: VIEW RELATED INFORMATION
   End_Group
   URL: http://nsidc.org/data/arcss097.html
   Group: Description

      Model Output from MBL-GEM III for Typical Tussock Tundra in the Kuparuk River 
      Basin, Alaska, 1921-2100

   End_Group
End_Group
Group: Related_URL
   Group: URL_Content_Type
      Type: VIEW RELATED INFORMATION
   End_Group
   URL: http://nsidc.org/data/arcss052.html
   Group: Description

      Model Output from the Marine Biology Laboratory General Ecosystem Model 
      (MBL-GEM) for Toolik Lake, 1921-2144, and the Kuparuk River Basin, 1995

   End_Group
End_Group
IDN_Node: USA/NOAA
Metadata_Name: CEOS IDN DIF
Metadata_Version: 9.7
DIF_Creation_Date: 2001-09-01
Last_DIF_Revision_Date: 2012-05-24
DIF_Revision_History: corrected dist. format and added add'l row for second format