ARCSS050
Model Output From the 'Frost Index' Permafrost Model: Variations in Circumpolar Frozen Ground Conditions and Modeled Future Conditions
Frederick E. Nelson, Oleg A. Anisimov, and Nikolay I. Shiklomanov
Model Output From the 'Frost Index' Permafrost Model: Variations in Circumpolar Frozen Ground Conditions and Modeled Future Conditions
2001-09-01
Boulder, Colorado USA
NSIDC: National Snow and Ice Data Center
http://nsidc.org/data/arcss050.html
Investigator
Frederick
E. (Fritz)
Nelson
fnelson@udel.edu
University of Delaware
Department of Geography
Newark
DE
USA
Investigator
Oleg
Anisimov
oleg@oa7661.spb.ru
7 812-323-35-17
7 812-323-10-28
State Hydrological Institute
V.O., 23
St. Petersburg
199053
Russia
Investigator
Nikolay
I.
Shiklomanov
shiklom@udel.edu
University of Delaware
Department of Geography
University of Delaware
216 Pearson Hall
Newark
DE
19716
Technical Contact
NSIDC
User Services
nsidc@nsidc.org
1 303 492-6199 x
1 303 492-2468 x
National Snow and Ice Data Center
CIRES, 449 UCB
University of Colorado
Boulder
CO
80309-0449
USA
EARTH SCIENCE
Cryosphere
Frozen Ground
Active Layer
EARTH SCIENCE
Cryosphere
Frozen Ground
Permafrost
EARTH SCIENCE
Cryosphere
Frozen Ground
Soil Temperature
EARTH SCIENCE
Cryosphere
Snow/Ice
Frost
EARTH SCIENCE
Cryosphere
Snow/Ice
Permafrost
EARTH SCIENCE
Land Surface
Frozen Ground
Active Layer
EARTH SCIENCE
Land Surface
Frozen Ground
Permafrost
EARTH SCIENCE
Land Surface
Frozen Ground
Soil Temperature
EARTH SCIENCE
Land Surface
Soils
Permafrost
EARTH SCIENCE
Land Surface
Soils
Soil Temperature
EARTH SCIENCE
Terrestrial Hydrosphere
Snow/Ice
Frost
EARTH SCIENCE
Terrestrial Hydrosphere
Snow/Ice
Permafrost
Climatology/Meteorology/Atmosphere
2050
Active Layer
active-layer thickness
ADCC
ARCSS050
Arctic
Arctic System Science Data Coordination Center
Circumpolar
Department of Geography
Frozen Ground
Future Model Scenarios
GCM
General Circulation Models
Global Circulation Models
Hazard Index
Hazard Potential
Maps
National Science Foundation
NSF
NSIDC
OPP9612647
OPP-9612647
Permafrost
Predictions
Soil Temperature
University of Delaware
VISUAL OBSERVATIONS
GROUND-BASED OBSERVATIONS
2000-11-27
2050-12-31
complete
56
83.5
-180
180
GEOGRAPHIC REGION
ARCTIC
GEOGRAPHIC REGION
POLAR
ARCSS/LAII/FLUX
Arctic System Science/Land-Atmosphere-Ice Interaction/fluxes
English
NSIDC
National Snow and Ice Data Center
http://nsidc.org
Data Center Contact
NSIDC
User Services
nsidc@nsidc.org
1 303 492-6199
1 303 492-2468
National Snow and Ice Data Center
CIRES, 449 UCB
University of Colorado
Boulder
CO
80309-0449
USA
NSIDC_ARCSS
NSIDC Arctic System Science Data Coordination Center
http://nsidc.org/arcss/
Data Center Contact
NSIDC ARCSS
User Services
nsidc@nsidc.org
1 303 492-6199
1 303 492-2468
National Snow and Ice Data Center
CIRES, 449 UCB
University of Colorado
Boulder
CO
80309-0449
USA
NSIDC_FGDC
NSIDC Frozen Ground Data Center
http://nsidc.org/fgdc/
Data Center Contact
NSIDC FGDC
User Services
nsidc@nsidc.org
1 303 492-6199
1 303 492-2468
National Snow and Ice Data Center
CIRES, 449 UCB
University of Colorado
Boulder
CO
80309-0449
USA
FTP
710 KB
ASCII Text
FTP
710 KB
JPEG
Anisimov, O. A. and Nelson, F. E., 1996: Permafrost distribution in the northern hemisphere under scenarios of climatic change. Global and Planetary Change, 14: 59-72.
Anisimov, O. A. and Nelson, F. E., 1997: Permafrost zonation and climate change: results from transient general circulation models. Climatic Change, 35: 241-258.
Anisimov O.A., and Poljakov V.Yu., 1999: Forecasting air temperature for the first quarter of the XXI century, Meteorology and Hydrology, 1999/2:. 25-31 (in Russian).
Anisimov, O. A. and Poljakov, V. Yu., 2000: Computerized geocryological information system for studies of climate-permafrost interaction in the Northern Hemisphere. Published in: Proceedings of the American Geophysical Union, Fall meeting, San Francisco, 8-12 December 2000. Anisimov, O. A., Shiklomanov, N. I., and Nelson, F. E., 1997: Effects of global warming on permafrost and active-layer thickness: results from transient general circulation models. Global and Planetary Change, 15: 61-77.
Brown, J., Ferrians, O. J. J., Heginbottom, J. A., and Melnikov, E. S., 1997: International Permafrost Association Circum-Arctic Map of Permafrost and Ground Ice Conditions. U.S. Geological Survey, Circum-Pacific Map Series, Map CP-45. Scale 1:10,000,000.
Greco, S., Moss, R. H., Viner, D., Jenne, R., and Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, W. G. II., 1994: Climate Scenarios and Socioeconomic Projections for IPCC WG II Assessment. Washington, D.C.: Consortium for International Earth Science Information Network. 12 + maps, appendices, diskettes.
Leemans, R. and Cramer, W., 1991: The IIASA Database for Mean Monthly Values of Temperature, Precipitation, and Cloudiness on a Global Terrestrial Grid. Research Report RR-91-18, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria, 62 pp.
Nelson, F.E., Anisimov, O.A., and Shiklomanov, N.I., 2001: Climate change and hazard zonation in the circum-Arctic permafrost regions. Natural Hazards, in press.
Nelson, F.E., Anisimov, O.A., and Shiklomanov, N.I., 2001: Subsidence risk from thawing permafrost. Nature 410: 889-890.
Nelson, F. E. and Outcalt, S. I., 1987: A computational method for prediction and regionalization of permafrost. Arctic and Alpine Research, 19: 279-288.
Scripter, M. W., 1970: Nested means map classes for statistical maps. Annals of the Association of American Geographers 60: 385-393.
Staub, B. and Rosenzweig, C., 1987: Global Gridded Data Sets of Soil Type, Soil Texture, Surface Slope and Other Properties. Boulder, CO: National Center for Atmospheric Research. http://www.ngdc.noaa.gov/seg/eco/cdroms/ged_iia/datasets/a11/sr.htm#top
This data set contains permafrost distribution maps, active-layer thickness maps, and hazard-potential maps constructed using results from the 'frost index' permafrost model (Nelson and Outcalt, 1987) driven by modern climatic data and scenarios of climate change derived from three transient general circulation models (Greco et al., 1994). The permafrost maps show the distribution of permafrost in the Northern Hemisphere under modern climatic conditions and General Circulation Model (GCM) projections for 2050; the active-layer thickness maps show relative changes in the depth of seasonal thawing projected for 2050; and the hazard-potential maps are used as indices to evaluate potential environmental hazards associated with thaw settlement and thermokarst.
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USA/NOAA
CEOS IDN DIF
9.7
2001-09-01
2012-05-24
corrected dist. format and added add'l row for second format